Anthony Fowler

Assistant Professor

Thank you for visiting my page. I am an Assistant Professor in the Harris School of Public Policy at the University of Chicago. My research focuses on difficult causal questions about political representation. When and to what extent do advanced democracies represent or fail to represent the preferences of their citizens? What policy interventions can improve representation? I design randomized experiments, search for natural experiments, and develop new tools to address these questions. Feel free to contact me with comments or questions.


Berry, Christopher R. and Anthony Fowler. Forthcoming. Cardinals or Clerics? Congressional Committees and the Distribution of PorkAmerican Journal of Political ScienceReplication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. Forthcoming. Long Term Consequences of Election Results. British Journal of Political ScienceReplication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. Forthcoming. Regular Voters, Marginal Voters, and the Electoral Effects of TurnoutPolitical Science Research and MethodsReplication Data.

Eggers, Andrew C.Anthony Fowler, Jens HainmuellerAndrew B. HallJames M. Snyder, Jr. 2015. On the Validity of the Regression Discontinuity Design for Estimating Electoral Effects: New Evidence from Over 40,000 Close RacesAmerican Journal of Political Science 59(1):259-274Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. Hall. 2014. Disentangling the Personal and Partisan Incumbency Advantages: Evidence from Close Elections and Term LimitsQuarterly Journal of Political Science 9(4):501-531. Replication Data.

Enos, Ryan D., Anthony Fowler, and Lynn Vavreck. 2014. Increasing Inequality: The Effect of GOTV Mobilization on the Composition of the Electorate. Journal of Politics 76(1):273-288. Replication Data.

Atkinson, Matthew D. and Anthony Fowler.  2014. Social Capital and Voter Turnout: Evidence from Saint's Day Fiestas in MexicoBritish Journal of Political Science 44(1):41-59. Replication Data.

Enos, Ryan D. and Anthony Fowler. 2014. Pivotality and Turnout: Evidence from a Field Experiment in the Aftermath of a Tied Election. Political Science Research and Methods 2(2):309-319.  Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony and Michele Margolis. 2014. The Political Consequences of Uninformed VotersElectoral Studies 34:100-110. Replication Data.

Fowler, Anthony. 2013. Electoral and Policy Consequences of Voter Turnout: Evidence from Compulsory Voting in Australia. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 8(2):159-182.  Replication Data.

Dowling, Conor M., Ryan D. Enos, Anthony Fowler, and Costas Panagopoulos. 2012. Does Public Financing Chill Political Speech? Exploiting a Court Injunction as a Natural ExperimentElection Law Journal 11(3):302-315. Replication Data.

Working Papers and Papers Under Review

Fowler, Anthony. Do Elections Select for Better Representatives?

Enos, Ryan D. and Anthony Fowler. The Effects of Large-Scale Campaigns on Voter Turnout: Evidence from 400 Million Voter Contacts

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. HallSearching for Convergence in Congress.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. HallWhere's the Bacon? Incumbents and the Distribution of Pork.

Fowler, Anthony and Andrew B. HallConservative Vote Probabilities: An Easier Method for the Analysis of Roll Call Data.
CVP Estimates for the U.S. House, Congresses 1-113
CVP Estimates for the U.S. Senate, Congresses 1-113
Issue-specific CVP Estimates for the U.S. House, Congresses 83-111

Other Writings

Fowler, Anthony. 2014. Is Get-Out-the-Vote Bad for Democracy? Boston Review.

Fowler, Anthony. 2014. Marginal Voters Are More Likely to Vote Democratic. American Politics and Policy Blog, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Fowler, Anthony and Michele Margolis. 2014. A More Informed Electorate Would Benefit the Democratic Party. American Politics and Policy Blog, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Enos, Ryan D. and Anthony Fowler. 2014. Get Out the Vote Interventions Increase Inequality in Voter TurnoutAmerican Politics and Policy Blog, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Enos, Ryan D. and Anthony Fowler. 2014. The Surprising Parity of the 2012 Ground GameThe Monkey Cage.

Enos, Ryan D. and Anthony Fowler. 2013. Obama's Voter Mobilization Was Barely More Effective than Romney'sThe Monkey Cage.

Fowler, Anthony and Michele Margolis. 2012. Knowing Where You Stand: How Informing the Voters Helps the Democrats. Boston Review.

Panagopoulous, Costas, Conor M. Dowling, Ryan D. Enos, and Anthony Fowler. 2011. Amici Brief to the Supreme Court of the United States, McComish v. Bennet.

Enos, Ryan D. and Anthony Fowler. 2010. Does YOUR Vote Count? YouGov Model Politics Blog.

Enos, Ryan D. and Anthony Fowler. 2010. Do Americans Care about Politics? YouGov Model Politics Blog.


Electoral Politics (PBPL 28702) 

The Science of Political Campaigns (PPHA 31720)

Political Economy III (PPHA 41103)

Public Opinion and Public Policy (PPHA 36210)